Wednesday, February 18, 2004

What the WaPo readers think

~Unsettled~: "I Hear The Washington Post and Its Readers
If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for George W. Bush, the Republican, or for John Kerry, the Democrat?"

Interesting poll results! Considering the weeks of media attention to the Democratic primary process - as is justified -

considering the press coverage to the baseless accusation of desertion and AWOL of the President,

considering the President has hardly yet begun to campaign, certainly not actively,

an 8 point lead by Sen. Kerry is surprisingly small!

Regardless, web polls are notoriously unreliable. Add to that there will be more than a few polls showing Sen. Kerry with a 20 point lead (most likely after the DNC convention, from the predictable bounce) and then President Bush with an equally high bounce following the RNC convention. The only polls that matter to me (outside of election day, of course) are the ones that track consistent trends, and are based on reputable methods.

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